What the pundits say
April 23, 2008
Dick Morris: Hillary’s big Pennsylvania win, “doesn’t mean anything.”
He continues:
Because of the Democratic Party’s arcane proportional-representation rules, her win stands to give her a net gain of 10 to 15 delegates when all is counted. That means that Barack Obama will fall from a lead of 161 in elected delegates to about 145 or so. Big deal.
The primaries coming up in the next two weeks - Indiana and North Carolina - are likely to give Obama back a goodly portion of those delegates. By the time all the primaries have been held, after June 3, there is no doubt that Obama will lead by more than 100 elected delegates, and likely 150. From there, it will be an easy route to the nomination.
Fred Barnes in the Weekly Standard says Hillary is making the case that Obama can’t win the general election:
Forget delegates and the popular vote for the Democratic presidential nomination. The most important thing Hillary Clinton gained by winning the Pennsylvania primary yesterday was a better argument–indeed, a much better argument.
Chances are, Clinton will trail Obama in the delegate count when the primaries end on June 3, as she does now. And while she may cut into his lead in the popular vote in the Democratic contests, she’s not likely to exceed his vote total. So the only way she can capture the nomination is by convincing roughly 300 uncommitted super-delegates that Obama cannot defeat Republican John McCain in November but she can.
This isn’t an easy case to make, especially with the super-delegates who will provide the margin of victory for whoever captures the 2,025 delegates needed to win the Democratic nomination. And at the moment, they appear strongly inclined to back Obama if he leads in delegates when the primary season is finished.
But after Pennsylvania, Clinton’s argument that she’s a stronger opponent against McCain will be impossible to ignore or dismiss. And it’s not just because Clinton was outspent by nearly 3 to 1 by Obama and got tougher coverage from the media, yet trounced him by a substantial margin in a state that the Democratic presidential nominee must win in November.
John B. Judis in The New Republic says Obama could be the next George McGovern,
…If you look at Obama’s vote in Pennsylvania, you begin to see the outlines of the old George McGovern coalition that haunted the Democrats during the ’70s and ’80s, led by college students and minorities. In Pennsylvania, Obama did best in college towns (60 to 40 percent in Penn State’s Centre County) and in heavily black areas like Philadelphia.
Its ideology is very liberal. Whereas in the first primaries and caucuses, Obama benefited from being seen as middle-of-the-road or even conservative, he is now receiving his strongest support from voters who see themselves as “very liberal.” In Pennsylvania, he defeated Clinton among “very liberal” voters by 55 to 45 percent, but lost “somewhat conservative” voters by 53 to 47 percent and moderates by 60 to 40 percent. In Wisconsin and Virginia, by contrast, he had done best against Clinton among voters who saw themselves as moderate or somewhat conservative.
Glenn Beck Speaks! Obama is a Marxist! “go to my pc.dot com is the sponsor today” He’s black! He’s a Massaih! He is Comrad Obama. HEY WHO TURNED OFF THE LIGHTS! I BELEIVE IN THE PEOPLE, THIS IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN CONSERVATIVES AND LIBERALS. The “ELITE” need to be there.
OBAMA IS A MARXIST!
Glenn Beck is a Racist and should just learn to SHUT HIS NECK!
At least he was born on American Soil and not COLO SOLO Panama Canal Zone Coalition boat McCain.
This is our return on Success we’ve been waiting on. THE PUNDITS ARE COMING THE PUNDITS ARE COMING. I think if he is under 42 he should go to IRAQ AND get him some MARXIST SOUP DE BAGHDAD and just SHUT HIS NECK, because when the 107th and 108th Congress were taking his 60,000 per child and he had it to give he wasn’t saying anything other than GEORGE BUSH COULD BE MY DADDY!
Oh Great another Cobb County “substitute” John McCain we really didn’t mean to dog you and say you broke Federal Election Laws first on 92.3 KTAR. Oooooh WE SO SORRY. So lets play the “Race” game for the Democratic Party even if they don’t. Let’s put the “race” ticket out there, instead of the Spirit of the Race or the Spirit of the Gender race that it is. A sorry-mans attempt to “just put it out there” you can agree or disagree that America won’t vote for a Black man. Another Cobb County day attempt to “excite” racial divides with she said, and John McCain would never say. Another KTAR Cobb County substitute making the daily “sublimanal” attempt “excite” racial divides in black people and white people alike! If Obama wins, white people won’t vote for him and if Hillary Clinton wins, hopefully we can get enough black people to believe that she is a “racist” and it is her fault that radio substitute “cling” to their mikes in hope that black people are listening. Upscale, broke, Rich, happy, “bitter” or 43,000 soldiers in Iraq that shouldn’t be believe “Austin Hill” from the log cabins in old town Gilbert that it’s true. Can we now blame “God” Catholics, for our “ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS”. We have gone from a GOD to a Lawless God with all of their “sanctuary” minded ways.
You just have to wonder if this “substitute” “KIDD” is married and actually “allows” his wife to think, breathe, or VOTE! One can only hope that the Sherriff would go into GILBERT and do a CRACK SWEEP SUPPRESSION so “substitute” COBB COUNTY CRACKHEADS are all of the AIRWAVES.
stupid, stupid boy. What, weed destroy all your brain cells?
What you talkin about Willis! Weed didn’t destroy my brain cells. Racist minded people do Bob. People who don’t know the law, who don’t know the validity of their own day. Don’t blame WEEDs Bob, you can blame our GOP Midnight 3am phone calls on how to yet (destroy) the very fabric of Arizona life the next day.
It’s not nice to call a man or men a BOY, Bob! Did you mean like Bobs Big Boy, or just BOY! Bob. Go to church Bob, your feet stink and you obviously don’t love JESUS in a Ladder Day Sense or any biblical sense at all! I forgive you though!
So please donate some money to a charity near you, you might feel better about yourself in the long run.