Archive for October 12th, 2007

Burnsy’s Blog: Game Day Blog

Here’s what I think:

I think the decision to keep the pitchers on their regular rest is the right one. Heard Keith Law of Scouts Inc. on with the morning show today. His belief is that the D-backs best chance is to go with Brandon Webb on short rest so you use him three times in the series. I disagree. The numbers are overwhelmingly bad for pitchers on short rest in the playoffs. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, since 1995 pitchers on short rest in the playoffs are 19-33 and their teams are 29-53. No thanks.

I think that Keith Law is dead on when it comes to Doug Davis and Livan Hernandez being bad matchups in this series. The Rockies were second in the National League in batters drawing walks. This ain’t the Cubs folks. They’re patient and I don’t think that works well for Davis or Livan.

I think we need more Micah in this series than just one start.

I think the attendance issue is the most bloated, overrated piece of garbage topic in the last 48 hours. Be embarrassed because your streets are dirty or your teachers are underpaid, not because there are a thousand unsold tickets for a playoff game. For goodness sakes I’ve stepped in deeper puddles. Media types trying to sex up a series that has no sex appeal, nothing more.

I think the key player in this series is Mark Reynolds. When he’s on, and hitting the ball for power, the D-backs offense is a different animal.

I think these two teams are relatively even in the pitching categories. I think the Rockies have a slight advantage defensively, especially when Justin Upton is in right and Connor Jackson is at first. I think the Rockies have a huge advantage offensively and that’s why Connor and Justin need to play more than just against the lefties.

I think the layoff really hurts the Rockies more than the D-backs. They’ve been playing elimination games for the last 3 weeks and haven’t done anything the last 4 days but take batting practice. Finding that gear again might be difficult. That intangible can make a difference in this series.

I think that, on the surface, the move to bring Willie Tavares back is a smart one for the Rockies. Speed at the top with Tavares and Matsui, plus it makes Troy Tulowitzki a 7 hitter. But, the Rockies got hot without Tavares. Are they messing with what works?

I think the Rockies win in six.