U of A is shooting for the moon in regards to a head coach But, even in light of the NY Post report about Rick Pitino, it seems to us that none of the following big names are likely:
Rick Pitino- plays in the premier conference. Owns the state of Kentucky, with big blue in disarray. Likes horses and racing from what we’ve heard. That’s a hobby a little more conducive to the Bluegrass State and not so much the Old Pueblo. Would cost an arm and a leg, something Arizona can neither afford or have the guts to ask for in this economy.
John Calipari- Doesn’t play in a premier conference, but is one of the premier coaches in the country. So moreover on the financial angle: How can they possibly afford him? They can’t. They won’t. Move on.
Tom Izzo- Pac 10 gets the slight edge over the Big 10, if only that’s more exciting and the industrial states (like Michigan) are dying in terms of populous, and heading out West wouldn’t be the worst idea for Izzo. But, he does still own the state of Michigan, a state more rich in talent than Arizona. He’ll also demand a lot of money, a common theme or disqualification if you will.
So, it seems to us that none of the above will be in Tucson anytime soon. Not saying they aren’t candidates. We’re saying they will not get the job. This is sort of like in Hollywood, when a director shoots for the moon in regards to casting, but eventually settles for a lesser known actor. Sometimes it works out.
Example: Tom Selleck as Indiana Jones? That almost happened before a scheduling conflict got Harrison Ford the gig. Per IMDB:
Tom Selleck was originally cast as Indiana Jones, but was not able to take the role because he was committed to “Magnum, P.I.” (1980). “Magnum” did an episode that parodied “Raiders”, complete with hat, whip, booby traps, etc.
This happened again to Harrison Ford in 1982 in “Blade Runner.” Per IMDB:
Dustin Hoffman was the original choice to play Deckard, although he wondered why he was asked to play a “macho character”. According to Ridley Scott, Hoffman was interested, but wanted to make it a whole different kind of character.
A more recent example is this year’s acclaimed movie “The Wrestler.” Mickey Rourke’s role was originally slated for Nicholas Cage:
At one point Nicolas Cage was set to star in the movie. He was seen at a Ring of Honor wrestling event in NYC doing research for the part.
How about the role of Neo in 1999’s “The Matrix” Keanu Reeves may have been the 6th choice for that role:
• Ewan McGregor was offered, but turned down, the part of Neo to work on Star Wars: Episode I - The Phantom Menace (1999). Leonardo DiCaprio was also considered for the role of Neo.
• Nicolas Cage turned down the part of Neo because of family commitments.
• Tom Cruise was also considered for the role of Neo.
• Will Smith was approached to play Neo but turned it down. He later admitted in an interview with Wired magazine that, at the time, he “wasn’t smart enough as an actor”.
John Travolta in 1994’s Pulp Fiction:
Got the role of Vincent Vega in Pulp Fiction (1994) primarily because Michael Madsen, the actor whom the part was written for, was unavailable due to a prior film commitment. Vincent was the brother of Michael Madsen’s character Vic Vega (AKA: Mr. Blonde in Reservoir Dogs (1992)) and the role jump-started his career after a long slump.
Long story short, getting a lesser known coach such as Xavier’s Sean Miller could end up working out.
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According to John Hollinger’s playoff index, the Suns have a 21.4% chance of making the playoffs. As the last team out of the playoffs, the Suns have .05% chance of getting the top pick in the lottery. In short, both are extreme long shots, but an extreme makeover for this roster is certainly not. Let’s handicap the chances of departure and retention for some the Suns heading into what will be a busy summer:
Trading Shaquille O’Neal (makes a lot of money, is old, and actually has some trade value after a nice comeback season) – 90.0%
Retaining Alvin Gentry (this probably depends on Steve Kerr. If he’s had enough of being public enemy #1 in town, then Gentry will probably go with him. If he’s committed to rebuilding the Suns and his reputation, Gentry will likely stay) – 88%
Trading Amare Stoudemire (immature, injury prone, doesn’t play defense and never will) – 85.0%
Trading Steve Nash (face of the franchise, albeit an unhappy one this year. Will he be any happier when the Suns start to rebuild? Probably not.) – 75.0%
Trading Jason Richardson (gunner, off the court and on). Makes a lot of money; probably more than he’s worth, especially on a limited payroll. Still, he’s relatively young, and will be one of the few stars left if any or all of the above are dealt) – 40%
Re-signing Matt Barnes (Had a solid year. Solid enough to get himself a big free-agent contract? We’re betting not, but a mid-level type deal could be more than what the Suns will willing or able to offer) – 30%
Re-signing Grant Hill (He probably has one year left in the league, so why would he want to spend it here? Well, who knows, but who better to mentor the Suns young players than Hill?) – 25%
Making the playoffs – 21.4%
Trading Leandro Barbosa (Has value, but probably more to the Suns than anyone else. Can score, and will undoubtedly have more scoring chances next year, and he is reasonable priced) – 11%
Winning the draft lottery - .05%
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